Emerging Markets Publishes Renewable Diesel 2030 Report
by Will Thurmond (Emerging Markets) Renewable Diesel 2030 is designed to help financiers, producers, developers, distributors, consultants and analysts with a fact-filled market guide detailing medium and long-term trends and developments in the renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuels sectors.
This study focuses on market fundamentals, emerging market trends, long-term forecasts and scenarios, and case studies of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel producers, investors, and strategic partners in the road transport, commercial airline, and maritime shipping (IMO 2020)industries.
Renewable Diesel 2030 projects global renewable diesel production to increase four-fold from 4.8 million tons per year in 2019 to 19.7 million tons by 2030. This rapid expansion of renewable diesel production is being driven by impressive market growth from low carbon fuels standards in California, Oregon, Washington and British Columbia in North America, and from an enormous pent-up demand for sustainable aviation fuels in US, EU and Canada.
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The Renewable Diesel 2030 study notes the average size of a current renewable diesel biorefinery is currently 116 million gallons/year. New plants are being built at more than twice the current size, at 263 million gallons/year on average, per plant.
The largest renewable diesel biorefineries planned for construction by 2022 are NEXT Fuels in Oregon and BS Bios in Paraguay: each at around 600 million gallons per year, followed by Philips 66/Ryze Renewables with two 462 million gallon/yr plants in Reno & Las Vegas, Nevada.
The market-pull from these west coast states is spawning the construction of new sustainable aviation fuels and renewable diesel biorefineries in Canada, France, Italy, Sweden, Norway and Paraguay.
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Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) demand is prompting veteran renewable diesel producers Neste in Singapore and Diamond Green Diesel each to re-invest approximately $1 billion to double their capacities and serve these emerging markets for renewable diesel and sustainable jet fuels.
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The Renewable Diesel 2030 study takes a close look at the intersection of renewable jet fuel and renewable diesel, as they are both traditionally processed similarly in HEFA/HVO thermochemical refineries. In addition, the study focuses on Fischer-Tropsch and Bio-Oil pyrolysis pathways for producing syncrude bio-oil that can then be upgraded in a traditional refinery process.
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Renewable Diesel 2030 also examines Canada’s R2 renewable diesel deployment and R5. The study also reviews key expansion initiatives for renewable diesel/jet in Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa in detail.
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Looking down the road, it is clear the use of additional feedstocks will be key to the commercialization of renewable diesel fuels from the 2020-2030 time frame. Renewable Diesel 2030 reviews key producers and suppliers of recycled yellow grease, waste animal fats and greases, agricultural residues, municipal solid waste and dedicated energy crops. These feedstocks are examined in detail, and also evaluated for economic utilization in various thermochemical, biochemical, and catalytic pathways. READ MORE
US Biodiesel Market Size, Outlook, Price, Demand and Production Analysis, Forecast to 2025 (Market Watch/Market Insight Reports)
Top Renewable Diesel Projects and Pathways: The Digest’s 2020 Multi-Slide Guide to Renewable Diesel Now (Biofuels Digest)
DigestConnect #17 – Renewable diesel Looking at 11 technologies, 21 projects and 13 emerging projects, plus market drivers and economics; with Emerging Markets CEO Will Thurmond and Digest editor Jim Lane (Biofuels Digest)
Yellow grease use in US biodiesel manufacturing bounces back in October (Biobased Diesel Daily)