The New Normal
Mabus agrees.
“in 2016 we bought the biggest sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) purchase ever — 77 million gallons of a 90/10 blend — AltAir supplied that fuel, and we got it for a penny cheaper than straight conventional energy. They also supplied 60 million of a 70/30 blend in 2018 at a cost of $1.91 a gallon, and in between they provided another 70/30 58 million gallons. And in these last two buys, they were made since we left. The navy and the marines recognize it and pretty publicly it gives them an edge. It makes them better, more flexible, more adaptable. “
It’s what he described once as a New Normal
“You don’t think of the ardent environmentalist when you think of the Marines, you think of guys who like to blow stuff up, but we used to use these big generators to provide power [even in forward areas], and at night you could hear the generators and our adversaries knew ‘that’s where the Americans are’, and now we have been able to move away from that, and they have become even better at being the most lethal and effective expeditionary fighting force the world has ever known. And we now have SEAL teams who can now operate on net zero energy and can stay out indefinitely.
“Now. thanks to the Port Commissioners and the airlines, the technology for sustainable aviation fuels s beginning to move from the navy to the commercial world, and in part it is because of that market seeding that happened when the Pentagon, which is the world’s largest user of fossil fuels on earth, showed that it could change, and do it in a way that made it a better organization.
“So can the private sector. But we have got to take the technologies of today and use them today. There are always science projects going on, and always there will be more efficient and better methods in the future, but we have the technologies that will take us forward now, and all sorts of feedstocks like waste oils and fats and municipal solid waste and wood waste and more.
A lot of companies are now buying carbon offsets and that’s an important market but a better way is to start buying a carbon solution. For example, in corporate aviation where usually that fuel costs 2-3X what commercial airlines pay, because it is bought in small quantities. But the impact is outsized when big companies that have big corporate aviation needs begin to buy SAF, and the word of that notion spreads. It used to be that corporations had to choose between the environment and the bottom line, today you can do both.”
The Port of Seattle perspective
Port Commissioner Ryan Calkins said:
“Transport is one of the toughest targets, and as other sources of fossil fuel usage begin to decline or flatline, aviation is projected to contribute a larger and bigger piece of the emissions pie, and we know there must be a better way and SAF gives us a path. The goal we have set of 80 million gallons by 2028 is many times the current world production, but we are absolutely going to hit that target, and our model can be adopted. We have a governor so serious about climate change he’s willing to stake his presidential campaign on it, we have the producers, the academic partners, we have airline partners committed to use when it becomes viable. The first step is to pass a clean fuels standard, because an LCFS will bring enormous environmental and innovation benefits for our state. There is a complete lack of oil derricks in our state, fossil fuels are a cash transfer out of state, and we would rather spend on locally produced biofuels instead of imported fossil fuels.”
World Energy: The RFS and the LCFS, we need both
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I wouldn’t recommend to the states an RFS route. most states are looking at an LCFS program. But one thing, I hope they can all sign off on one methodology, such as the California rules, because it becomes really painful to reapply and recertify fuels every time you cross a state line.”
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LanzaTech outlines its growth
“Carbon is really precious,” said LanzaTech CEO Jennifer Holmgren in her remarks at the Summit.
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“LanzaTech technology is not science fiction. We are now running two production trains in China, these production trains have 11 million gallons in annual capacity and we have made already made 5 million gallons since May. If you do the math, you know that this works, and everyone who said that gas fermentation would never amount to anything were incorrect, this does work.
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Holmgren highlighted the LanzaTech projects now in construction or operation:
Swayana (South Africa), using ferro-alloy off gas
Indian Oil (India), using refinery tail gases
Shougang (China), using steel off gas
Arcelor Mittal -(Belgium), using steel off gas
Aemetis (California), using gasified orchard waste
Sekisui -(Japan) using gasified MSW
Those projects will produce ethanol, and LanzaJet technology can convert that ethanol (or that of others) to jet fuel. Lanzajet technology was in the lab in 2015, reached pilot-scale in 2016, goes to a 10 million gallon demonstration in 2020 and by 2022 the company expects to have 90 million gallons in capacity at 3 plants— maybe a little more, Holmgren teases. READ MORE
