by Andrew Zinin (AFP/Phys.Org) Brazil, India, Italy and Japan vowed Tuesday (October 14, 2025) to quadruple their production and consumption of renewable fuels, hoping other countries will join the pledge during UN climate talks in November.
"We hope to have a good number of signatories" by COP30, Brazilian foreign ministry official Joao Marcos Paes Leme told reporters in the capital Brasilia.
"Other European countries are also interested," he added.
Paes Leme was speaking on the sidelines of a meeting of representatives from 67 countries in the run up to COP30 climate talks in the Amazon city of Belem next month.
The pledge involves quadrupling the production of sustainable fuels such as biofuels, hydrogen and some synthetic fuels by 2035, compared to 2024 levels.
Paes Leme noted that these fuels can be used to replace planet-harming fossil fuels in sectors such as aviation, maritime transport, or the cement and steel industries.
"These are sectors where decarbonization is difficult," because electrical energy has not yet succeeded in replacing fossil fuels.
Sustainable fuels are already used in these industries "but they are not produced in sufficient quantities," he said.
The massive use of coal, oil, and fossil gas for energy since the industrial revolution is the primary driver of human-induced global warming.
The commitment to sustainable fuels "is something we love to hear," said Francesco La Camera, director-general of the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA).
However, he warned that some biofuels can be harmful due to the vast expanses of land required to produce raw materials such as sugarcane, soy, or corn.
"We have to be serious about what we say, sustainable fuel also means sustainable from the perspective of land use."
For the first time, the world pledged to "transition away" from fossil fuels at COP28 in Dubai in 2023.
However many of the largest fossil-fuel producing nations—including Brazil—are planning to increase production in the coming years. READ MORE
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- Greenpeace calls on Toyota to stop greenwashing biofuel vehicles (Greenpeace East Asia)
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Excerpt from The Guardian: A spokesperson from Brazil’s foreign affairs ministry said: “Brazil is not proposing that countries quadruple biofuels. The proponents of the pledge (which include Japan, Italy, India, among others) are calling upon countries to support quadrupling production and use of sustainable fuels — a group of gaseous and liquid fuels that include e-fuels, biogases, biofuels, hydrogen and its derivatives.
“The proposed fourfold increase is a global goal (countries are not expected to individually quadruple production). It is based on an IEA report released this week that said this production increase is both feasible and necessary to reduce emissions, particularly from hard-to-abate sectors. The IEA report is a sound, scientific document underpinning the proposed Belém 4x pledge. The word ‘sustainable’ is not used lightly, neither in the report nor in the pledge.
“For a fuel to be sustainable, it must have low-GHG intensity over its lifecycle, measured in grams of CO2 equivalent by megajoule of fuel (gCO2;MJ). It also needs to comply with a set of non-GHG criteria, such as biodiversity conservation, sustainable water management and compliance with social safeguards. These concerns are taken seriously and have been integrated into the design of the declaration itself.” READ MORE
Excerpt from International Energy Agency: The International Energy Agency (IEA) has published a new report “Delivering Sustainable Fuels” as a follow up of its 2024 report “Towards Common Criteria for Sustainable Fuels”.
The deployment of sustainable fuels – liquid biofuels, biogases, renewable hydrogen and hydrogen-based fuels – is complementary to the electrification and energy efficiency in energy transition in various sectors, like transport and industry. If current and proposed national and international policy would be fully implemented their deployment could double by 2030 and even quadruple by 2035, compared to 2024 levels.
To achieve this IEA call for a shared global vision for sustainable fuels, to bridge cost gaps, boost innovation to expand protection potential, develop carbon accounting methodologies and freeing up long-term investments and access to finance, and to bring on board developments in emerging and developing economies.
Based on this report and as part of the run up to the COP30 to be held in Brazil from 10 to 21 November 2025, Brazil, joined by India, Italy and Japan, has just announced a pledge to quadruple the deployment of sustainable biofuels by 2035.
Read the press release on the Brazilian Foreign Ministry website (Portuguese language)
The “Belém Commitment for Sustainable Fuels,” or “Belém 4x,” was launched on 14 October 2025 during the pre-COP30 meeting in Brasília. The initiative aims to provide high-level political support for the global goal of at least quadrupling the production and use of sustainable fuels by 2035. The text is being negotiated by Brazil with partner countries such as India, Italy, and Japan and will be published in the coming days.
Read the full report: “Delivering Sustainable Fuels”
Quote from the IEA website:
“Sustainable fuels – including liquid biofuels, biogases, low-emissions hydrogen and hydrogen-based fuels – offer multiple benefits for the energy sector. They complement electrification and energy efficiency in energy transitions, and are particularly important for sectors that continue to be reliant on fuel-based solutions such as aviation, shipping, and parts of road transport and industry. Sustainable fuels can also enhance energy security, strengthen environmental sustainability and stimulate economic development, particularly in rural areas.
If fully legislated and implemented, current and proposed national and international policies would put the use of sustainable liquid and gaseous fuels on a path to nearly double from 2024 levels by 2030 and quadruple by 2035. Progress must occur on multiple fronts to increase uptake and foster a large and diverse set of sustainable fuel pathways. This calls for a shared global vision for sustainable fuels, along with targeted policies to bridge costs gaps with conventional fuels, innovation to expand production potential, robust and mutually agreed carbon accounting methodologies to ensure that sustainability criteria are met, long-term investment in infrastructure, and more accessible financing, especially in emerging and developing economies.
This report was prepared in support of Brazil’s COP30 Presidency and its Climate Action Agenda. It presents a sectoral analysis of global pathways for accelerating the deployment of sustainable liquid and gaseous fuels to 2035. It also summarises cumulative policy experience to date, identifies key technology and infrastructure requirements for scaling up deployment, and highlights resulting benefits that extend well beyond emissions reductions. Finally, the report outlines priority policy actions for governments seeking to adopt sustainable fuels to achieve measurable emissions reductions, strengthen domestic energy security and foster new opportunities for economic development.” READ MORE
Excerpt from Brazil Minstry of Foreign Affairs: he "Belém Commitment for Sustainable Fuels," or "Belém 4x," was launched today (October 14, 2025) during the pre-COP in Brasília. The initiative, to be endorsed at the Climate Summit on November 6 and 7, aims to provide high-level political support for the global goal of at least quadrupling the production and use of sustainable fuels by 2035. The text is co-sponsored by Brazil, Italy, and Japan, with support from India, and is available here .
The goal of quadrupling the production of sustainable fuels is based on a report by the International Energy Agency entitled “Delivering Sustainable Fuels - Pathways to 2035”, published today and available here .
The Belém 4x commitment aims to promote the global adoption of more clean and sustainable energy sources, such as hydrogen and its derivatives, biogases, biofuels and synthetic fuels, which can be substitutes for fossil fuels, as part of the gradual effort to decarbonize energy systems and combat climate change.
- 2025.10.16_COP30 Declaration_Sustainable Fuels.pdf
- 2025.10.16_COP30 Declaration_Sustainable Fuels.pdf READ MORE (Google translation)
Excerpt from Renewable Energy Magazine: Over 100 members of the global scientific community, including representatives from the Union of Concerned Scientists and the World Resources Institute, are calling on global leaders to limit what the scientists say is a dangerous expansion of biofuels.
The scientists signed a letter, ahead of the COP30 climate change negotiations, which open next week in Belém, Brazil, as a response to Brazil seeking high-level support for a leaders’ pledge to quadruple so-called “sustainable fuel” use - including a doubling of biofuels consumption.
The letter says that there is mounting scientific evidence showing that, far from being a climate-friendly solution as many governments claim, on average the energy source is responsible for 16 percent more emissions than the fossil fuels they replace. Estimates indicate that doubling biofuel production would increase net global greenhouse gas emissions by nearly 34 MtCO₂e annually, the equivalent of putting 30 million new diesel cars on the road.
It also warns that such an expansion would have devastating environmental impacts in some of the world’s most biodiverse regions, consume scarce water resources, and contribute to agricultural runoff. Moreover, the scientists also caution that increased biofuels use will exacerbate global hunger by raising food prices, intensifying food price volatility, and diverting calories from human consumption.
Curbing unrestrained biofuels use is not without precedent. In 2020, the EU agreed to cap conventional (first-generation) crop-based biofuels at a 7 percent share of its transport energy, while waste- and residue-based biofuels are limited to 1.7 percent to encourage fuel innovations and reduce land-use impacts.
In biofuel producer nations, like Brazil and Indonesia, local NGOs are calling for a holistic approach to manage negative impacts, including caps on cultivation, better traceability, and investments in community-based governance and decentralised energy.
The scientists claim that Brazil’s biofuels push reflects a dangerous resurgence of biofuels as a global commodity that threatens to repeat the mistake of the “biofuels gold rush” in the mid-2000s that prompted large-scale deforestation, biodiversity loss, and human rights abuses. READ MORE
Excerpt from Transport & Environment/Business Wire: Global biofuels production emits 16% on average more CO2 than the fossil fuels it replaces, a new Cerulogy report on behalf of T&E shows. With demand set to rise by at least 40% by 2030, T&E calls for global leaders meeting in Brazil for COP30 to agree to limit the expansion of a climate solution that is doing more harm than good.
These higher emissions are largely driven by the indirect impacts of farming and deforestation linked to crop-based biofuels. By 2030, biofuels are projected to emit 70 MtCO₂e more than the fossil fuels they replace, equivalent to the annual emissions of almost 30 million diesel cars.
Today, growing crops to be burned as fuel uses up 32 million hectares of land - roughly the size of Italy - to meet just 4% of global transport energy demand. By 2030, this is set to grow by 60% to 52 million hectares - the size of France.
The same land could feed 1.3 billion people, while using just 3% of that land for solar panels would produce the same amount of energy. As electric vehicles are much more efficient than fossil fuel cars, that 3% of solar energy would be enough to power close to a third of the world’s current car fleet.
Cian Delaney, biofuels campaigner at T&E: “Biofuels are a terrible climate solution and a staggering waste of land, food, and millions in subsidies. Ensuring a sustainable balance between agriculture and nature is essential to tackling the climate crisis, and burning crops for fuel only pushes us further in the wrong direction. Governments around the world must prioritise renewables over crop biofuels.”
The analysis shows that 90% of global biofuel production still relies on food crops. In 2023, the biofuel industry consumed around 150 million tonnes of corn and 120 million tonnes of sugarcane and sugar beet. In total, the equivalent of 100 million bottles of vegetable oil are burned in cars every day, meaning a fifth of all vegetable oil supply is never even used for food. The energy in all these feedstocks could meet the minimum calorific requirements of up to 1.3 billion people.
T&E’s analysis shows that biofuel crops require significant amounts of freshwater. Driving a car 100 km on first generation biofuels would require on average close to 3,000 litres of water, while only twenty litres would be needed to run an electric car on solar electricity. As climate change puts increasing pressure on water supplies, this could be a disaster, warns T&E.
Brazil is one of the fastest growing biofuels producers and is catching up with the US - the world’s biggest biofuels producer. The country recently decided to suspend its soy moratorium, which protects deforestation in the Amazon from soy cultivation. Canada and India are also among those set to massively increase their production. T&E’s analysis is based on existing government policies and strategies; however, demand for biofuels could also see a massive spike for use in shipping and aviation as part of their efforts to find alternatives to fossil fuels.
Jude Lee, APAC Regional Policy and Program Director at T&E: "Japan’s support for Brazil’s call to quadruple biofuel production is concerning. Instead of promoting first-generation fuels like palm and soybean oil, which risk worsening deforestation and climate impacts, Japan should focus on advanced, waste-based biofuels with strict certification standards, similar to the EU’s FuelEU Maritime framework."
T&E calls on governments to better safeguard against biofuels that contribute to land clearance and deforestation when making climate policies. Public funds should prioritise smart electrification, efficiency and truly sustainable alternatives, not false solutions, says the group. READ MORE
Excerpt from Greenpeace: As the world converges at COP30 to confront the climate crisis, Greenpeace has condemned Toyota’s misleading promotion of biofuel-powered prototype vehicles as a decarbonisation solution, as it ignores mounting scientific consensus that biofuels are a false climate solution that endangers both people and the planet.[1]
Greenpeace joined with Climate Action Network (CAN) — representing over 1,900 civil society organisations worldwide — to reject the so-called “Belém 4x Pledge” on biofuels, warning that expanding biofuel production threatens forests, food security, and climate goals — echoing growing scientific consensus that crop-based biofuels are a false solution to the energy and climate crises.[2]
...
Greenpeace East Asia’s research finds that Toyota’s battery electric vehicles produce only one-third of the lifetime use-phase emissions compared to internal combustion models. There is a global consensus that a complete transition to electrification is urgently needed. [4]
...
[1] Toyota do Brasil, press release (released on November 5, 2025)
[2] COP30: CAN Rejects Belém 4X Pledge on Sustainable Fuels as Credible Pathway to Just Transition
[4] Open letter to COP30: Scientists call on global leaders to limit crop biofuels
Exceprt from Energy Tech: Opponents of crop-based biofuels, however, contend that it’s anything but net zero. Agricultural biofuel production, they say, takes food out of the ground and emits more carbon dioxide (CO2) than the fossil fuels it replaces.
This last point is a key reported finding by European clean-energy advocacy group T&E. In its latest Cerulogy report, T&E calculates that global biofuels production emits 16% on average more CO2 than conventional fossil fuels. (Editor’s Note: The group is decidedly pro-electrification when it comes to energy for the transportation sector).
...
Biofuel counterpoint: Cleanest fuel is the fossil fuel avoided
The T&E viewpoint is countered by many biofuel supporters who contend that converting waste animal and agricultural products into renewable diesel, renewable natural gas and SAF is a net decarbonization win. Waste products--whether it’s cattle droppings, crop residue, landfill materials or discarded food—are known to emit high levels of methane, considered by many environmental scientists as multiple times more damaging to the climate than CO2.
Biofuels also replace oil demand, including as much as four million barrels per day by 2028, according to the IEA.
“Renewable electricity leads growth by avoiding an additional 1.3 million barrels equivalent per day of oil consumption over the forecast period, while biofuels avoid another 700,000 barrels per day,” says the IEA site. “By 2028, biofuels account for nearly 60% of avoided oil demand and renewable electricity for the remainder.”
...
Biofuels producers and their supporters contend they are doing important work with long-term environmental benefits. Even the pro-fossil Trump Administration Department of Energy released nearly $800 million in DOE loan guarantees for Montana Renewables’ SAF production plant expansion where it converts seed oil into fuel in Great Falls, Montana.
On the food waste side, Divert and refrigeration warehousing firm United States Cold Storage (USCS) are partnering on a recycling program to take unsellable food and beverages and turn them into renewable energy.
“Creating reliable and flexible diversion pathways to support our customers across the food value chain represents a massive opportunity to drive environmental and operational impact,” Andrew Johnston, VP and GM, Industrials, Divert, said when the collaboration with USCS was announced. “Our collaboration with USCS demonstrates how the cold storage industry can turn a challenge into a value-generating solution—meeting compliance requirements, reducing emissions, and unlocking positive ESG and business outcomes.”
Food waste and animal waste are one thing. Ethanol inspires specific environmental concerns because of the acreage used, the corn taken out of the food industry and the net energy loss involved in the refining process.
Some ethanol producers are working to correct the carbon emission imbalance. Recent stories in EnergyTech convey work by ethanol and biofuels producers to further reduce their carbon footprint.
Agricultural production giant ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland) recently started up a carbon capture, transport and storage (CCS) project at its Nebraska Corn Processing Complex which ultimately produces ethanol.
Both ADM and Green Plains have separate CCS facilities at their Nebraska biofuels sites. The captured carbon is collected and moved through the Trailblazer Pipeline to carbon storage sites deep underground in North Dakota and Wyoming.
The Trailblazer is a converted natural gas pipeline. Summit Carbon Solutions and others are investing in the system to remove as much as 18 million metric tons of compressed CO2 per year out of the ethanol production systems. READ MORE
Excerpt from Canadian Biomass Magazine: Advanced Biofuels Canada Association (ABFC) welcomes the Government of Canada’s announcement that it will join the Belém 4X Pledge on Sustainable Fuels, a landmark international commitment to quadruple the global use of sustainable fuels by 2035.
The Pledge, advanced by leading nations under the COP30 Global Sustainable Fuels Declaration, establishes a coordinated framework to accelerate investment, harmonize carbon-accounting standards, and promote open, transparent trade in sustainable fuels across transport and industrial sectors.
In addition to welcoming Canada’s decision, ABFC is endorsing the Belém 4X Pledge and committing to collaborate on implementation.
“Canada’s participation in the Belém 4X Pledge sends a powerful signal that sustainable liquid fuels are not only a domestic climate solution, but also a cornerstone of global energy security and trade. This commitment aligns Canada with international leaders that are transitioning energy systems towards net-zero emissions by 2050. The Pledge is not just an aspirational target, it’s an action commitment to accelerate low-carbon innovation, scale renewable fuel production and use, strengthen rural economies through new investment and jobs, and advance compatible carbon-accounting standards that reward emissions reductions,” said Doug Hooper, Director of Global Affairs at Advanced Biofuels Canada. “The Belém 4X Pledge underscores the growing recognition that clean fuels, such as biofuels, are essential to achieving net-zero goals, particularly in hard-to-abate sectors like aviation, marine, and rail.”
“Scaling sustainable fuels globally will unlock opportunities for Canadian biofuel producers and feedstock suppliers – and the 30,000 jobs they support across the country,” added Hooper. “It’s about building the partnerships and establishing market signals that let our industries compete on a level playing field, twinning climate progress with economic growth.”
At home, Canada is turning policies into performance, with fuel blends reaching ~10% ethanol and ~7% renewable diesel in 2024 (Navius Research, Biofuels in Canada 2025 report). Canada’s fuel regulations are driving innovations to significantly reduce fuel carbon intensities, and fuel producers are expanding made-in-Canada biofuel capacity. At full capacity, Canada’s clean fuel sector represents over $19 billion in economic output in 2025, and we are well-positioned to deliver on the Belém 4X Pledge by expanding output to over $40 billion by 2030.
With policy momentum at home and abroad, Canada is poised to convert this commitment into new domestic projects, capital investment, and durable jobs that advance the Belém 4X goals and build Canadian resilient capacity across the sustainable fuel supply chains.
Advanced Biofuels Canada is the national industry voice for producers, distributors, and technology providers of non-fossil, low carbon, and sustainable fuel replacements to gasoline, diesel, jet, and marine fuels. Our members operate over 45 billion litres of low carbon fuel production capacity globally and are significant suppliers to renewable and low carbon fuel in Canada and worldwide. For more information, visit www.advancedbiofuels.ca. READ MORE
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